Just saw the interview with Trump, there are two key points:

First: Trump believes that the drop in oil prices will not happen until after the midterm elections.

Second: Trump thinks there is still a chance for negotiations, but that will also have to wait until after the midterm elections.

My personal opinion:

There are almost two months until the midterm elections; if the trend of rising oil prices continues, WTI will probably reach 110 dollars. If it really gets to that price, the Republican Party will likely lose both houses.

Furthermore, I also think this statement reveals Trump's complete ineffectiveness regarding Iran. In this situation, remarks like Trump's will not boost morale; instead, they will make the market even more worried.

If the resolution really has to wait until after the midterm elections, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates.

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