The market on September 10 is very clear: the market is waiting for data, and funds are still circulating in privacy coins. Bitcoin fell below 78,000 this morning, currently around 78,200–78,400; Ethereum is around 2,467–2,480 USD; the total market capitalization is about 2.75 trillion USD, with a decline of about 1% in 24 hours. BNB and SOL are both weakening, at around 722 and 101 USD, respectively.
The true contrarian is still ZEC. Yesterday, common quotes reached 1,294–1,298 USD, hitting a recent high, today it has fallen back to 1,215–1,230, still well above 1,200. Grayscale's ZEC spot ETF (ZCSH) assets have previously broken 500 million USD, holding over 550,000 coins, accounting for about 3% of the circulating supply, which gives it the strength to operate independently of BTC in this round.
The macro calendar is more solid than the K-line. Today there is the US August PPI, tomorrow the CPI, and around next Wednesday is the FOMC on September 15–16. Non-farm payrolls have placed the probability of a 25 BP rate hike at fifty to sixty percent, oil prices are nearing 100 USD, and the ten-year US Treasury yield is about 4.8%, making it reasonable for risk assets to first reduce leverage. The Treasury has increased the long-term Treasury bond buyback scale to 6 billion USD, which can only alleviate pressure on the bond market but cannot change the rhythm of “first looking at inflation then pricing.”
BTC
Resistance: 78,800–79,500, above that is 80,000 and 81,000–82,300.
Support: 78,000 has been lost, the next level is 77,600 (the low of this week) and 77,000; further down is 75,500.
Judgment: Unable to break 80,000 for several consecutive days, short-term sliding from the upper end of the range to the lower end. If CPI is hot, 77,000 will be tested; if the data is mild, first reclaiming 78,800 before discussing a return to 80,000.
ETH
Resistance: 2,510–2,550.
Support: 2,460, further down to 2,430.
Judgment: Lacking its own main line, following BTC’s fluctuations. Holding 2,460 continues to follow; breaking 2,430 would mean accelerating to catch up on losses.
ZEC
Resistance: 1,250–1,265, the previous high of 1,294–1,298.
Support: 1,200 is an emotional line, 1,160–1,180 is the first retracement range, and 1,100–1,120 determines whether the trend is still intact.
Judgment: The weekly line is still up about 50%, but the RSI is hot; near 1,298 is the profit-taking zone, not a new entry zone. Retracing to 1,200 on lower volume is more appropriate than chasing 1,230.
Strategy
From tonight to tomorrow is a volatility window, first check PPI, then check CPI, and do not rush to take directional positions before the FOMC. Do not increase BTC holdings if it does not stand back above 78,800; ETH will follow, and only do retracements below 1,200 for ZEC. Reduce leverage before the data lands.
The above is a summary of public information and does not constitute investment advice; the levels are based on real-time market conditions.

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。