The gold oil ratio today is 46, it needs to revert to the historical average of around 25!

It is very likely that only an increase in oil prices will pull it up; currently, Bank of America predicts that crude oil may rise to over 📈150 dollars within six months (today Brent crude is 105), and the path of global inflation cannot be stopped!

This wave of the dollar has completely diverged from U.S. Treasury yields, and there is hope for a bottoming rebound. Gold may show a sideways trend due to the dollar's recovery in the medium term, and the probability of a short-term decline is also not high. Against the background of a major sell-off in U.S. Treasuries, sovereign countries are more willing to increase their holdings of gold as a hedge. Gold is sideways, oil is taking off, and ultimately moving from inflation to stagflation aligns well with the reasoning path of Shih Han Bing! 🧐

The next turning point in the Kitchin cycle from recession to recovery is most likely in the late middle of 27, and there are many opportunities ahead!

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