Although there is support from Trump and a compromise on the moral clause, the probability of the CLARITY bill passing is currently low, only 27%, which has decreased from 31% in the morning! 🧐

But I am optimistic about the future, especially in the context of current high inflation, #BTC remains one of the most important anti-inflation assets. Here are several scenarios we have simulated:

CLARITY passes + Federal Reserve stays put → Directly triggers a super bull market, leaving you questioning life.

CLARITY does not pass + Federal Reserve stays put → Limited emotional impact, the main force continues to push up.

CLARITY passes + Federal Reserve raises interest rates → Brief consolidation and turnover, then a major upward wave begins.

CLARITY does not pass + Federal Reserve raises interest rates → Facing an ultimate sell-off, creates a golden pit for the bottom, then a desperate counterattack in October.

So no matter how things fluctuate in between, the answer is to welcome a big rise, it’s just a matter of time. Since #BTC set a new high on October 6 last year, it has been nearly 12 months of correction, and the past three rounds of BTC correction cycles have also lasted around 12 months.

2013 peak (December) → 2015/1 bear bottom, -86%, about 13 months.

2017 peak (December) → 2018/12 bear bottom, -84%, about 12 months.

2021 peak (November) → 2022/11 bear bottom, -77%, about 12 months.

Now holding onto spot is the safest strategy. There is no need to be washed out by short-term fluctuation noise. Looking at the timeline, the price at the end of the year is likely to be much higher than it is now. Hold your chips steady and wait for the bloom. 🧐

This article is sponsored by @binancezh, "Binance buys US stocks: global assets, zero time difference, one-click access!"

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