This week, the overall cryptocurrency market is in a stage of macro emotional turbulence and digestion. The market is focusing on this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with rate hike expectations continuing to disturb the market dynamics. The short-term market is experiencing pressure after reaching highs, with back-and-forth fluctuations to build momentum. Coupled with the impact of stock market fluctuations, the rhythm of rises and falls in the crypto space has accelerated, but the larger bullish structure remains intact. The high-level fluctuations are still a consolidation pattern, and short-term pullbacks present opportunities for low long positions.

A rebound occurred during the early hours, with BTC peaking at around 79500, and ETH simultaneously strengthening to reach a high of 2615. However, the bullish momentum was insufficient, and both failed to stabilize above the key levels of 80000 and 2600, retreating after the highs. My mindset has consistently focused on maintaining a low long position and not chasing highs. Last Friday, Saturday, and Monday, I consistently provided the low position long strategies for BTC at 77000 and ETH at 2500, all of which accurately timed the market, with those who followed the strategy steadily harvesting segment profits.

On the daily chart, BTC has stabilized and rebounded at the lower support, continuously probing the mid-level resistance, with the current price opening below the mid-level. In terms of indicators, the KDJ golden cross diverges upwards while MACD's bearish volume continues to shrink, maintaining the bullish recovery trend on the daily level.

In the 4-hour chart, the price has peaked and retreated, returning to operate below the upper track. KDJ and RSI are both turning down, while MACD's bullish momentum is slightly declining, which is a normal high rebound correction.

On the hourly chart, it is most evident that the price broke through the upper Bollinger Band and then continuously retreated, recording five consecutive bearish candles. The short-term drop has sufficiently built strength. Overall, this is a healthy pullback for correction, not a reversal to weakness. After the pullback reaches a point, the bullish rhythm is still expected to continue.

The core logic of the overall market remains unchanged: as long as the key support at 75000 isn’t broken, the bullish structure is fully intact. The short-term fluctuations and high-low dives are actions of the main force washing and accumulating positions, and any pullback is a buying opportunity.

BTC
Short-term core support: 77000, 76000, position a part of long orders within the support range
Ultimate defensive dividing line: 75000, maintaining a bullish mindset as long as it doesn't break
Level by level resistance above: 78000—79000—80000

ETH
Current price around 2515
Key intraday support: 2490, 2450, light positions gradually increasing longs
Resistance above during rebound: 2540—2580—2620

In trading, it is essential to clearly recognize the trend and time the rhythm correctly, not chasing during significant rises or panicking during notable falls. Currently, the large-scale bullish trend on the chart is clear, while short-term pullbacks are merely technical corrections. Do not let short-term bearish candles confuse your strategy. Stick to the core logic of low-long positions, rely on key supports for steady setups, manage position sizes, and set appropriate stop losses to ensure you profit steadily from each segment of the market.

⚠️Warm reminder: The above is only a personal market review and analysis, not constituting any investment advice. The crypto market is highly volatile; please strictly control your positions, set stop losses, and trade rationally.

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。