The market is running weakly, operating within a range, and Lao Cui finds it uninteresting to talk about basic theories. Coincidentally, a guideline titled "Opinions on Developing New Quality Productive Forces" was released in the country. After reading it, Lao Cui also organized some thoughts; most of Lao Cui's fans are still in the country, and everyone can self-check their own industry. The core expression is that we cannot detach from reality and head towards the virtual, creating bubbles, nor can we allow our professions to become hollow or industries to experience gaps, nor can we blindly pursue novelty while losing sight of other aspects. This sentence sets the tone for the future; the country will certainly adhere to industrialization, rather than following the Americans in developing finance and services. How do we understand the current industry? Very simply, industry is the spine, AI is the assistant, and there is no need to overly pursue computing power. The positioning of new quality productive forces directly lists eight major industries that will be strongly supported in the future, and Lao Cui will not enumerate them one by one; what Lao Cui wants to express is a single point: the cryptocurrency sector is not included in this, at least it will not be promoted in the next 5-10 years.

Everyone must pay attention to this strategy regarding guiding opinions; since the future pillar is here, the most profitable industries will definitely be born here. For ordinary people, investing in related stocks is a poor choice because the country does not rely on the financial sector as a pillar. The fields that ordinary people can involve in are naturally the supporting ones, for example, the advantage of central and western regions lies in the power-related industries, which do not require large investments like power plants. Regarding the production of electrical equipment, or as second-hand dealers, or if anyone can obtain related computing power equipment, these are all ways to quickly accumulate capital. Some industries are naturally inaccessible, such as electric vehicles? This type of industry support has already reached saturation, and if everyone wants to get involved, they can only invest in related stocks. The eternal industry is materials science; if you have newer materials, you can quickly accumulate capital, which is what research institutions should do.

In the downward transmission path, there are still many industries that everyone can get involved in, such as the development of the decoration sector; the future direction will definitely be intelligent-related decoration, how to create a safe and reliable decoration scheme at a low cost, or information security; these are the questions everyone needs to consider. How can these guiding opinions be integrated into one's own development? To reveal a bit of news, Lao Cui's house is designed and decorated independently, and he is currently quite satisfied. Domestic users are very fragmented in this aspect, as many friends cannot distinguish what is the virtual economy? What is the real economy? The representative figure of the virtual economy is Buffett, and even Huang Renxun, Musk, and CZ can be included. The representative of the real economy is Li Ka-shing; where lies the difference between the two? The real economy is almost irreplaceable, while the virtual economy can easily fall from grace.

The cashing ability of both sides will also differ greatly; the cashing of the real economy is often sold at a discount of 20-30%, while the virtual economy may not even be able to bring out 50% of the bubbles successfully. This is also why the word "bubble" is often mentioned domestically; when related to the cryptocurrency sector, the trading behaviors between Grayscale and BlackRock, comparing their positions, fall between 20,000 and 80,000 Bitcoin, with both sides exchanging 300,000 coins. Grayscale's holding cost is mostly below 20,000, and Lao Cui does not quite understand the price given to BlackRock, but at most it would be 40,000, not exceeding this price. After all, selling too much depends on the result of negotiations; the cashing of the virtual economy needs to consider many factors. The only people in the circle who can take this order of selling 300,000 Bitcoins are BlackRock alone. To cash out on the market, the price would at most be around 30,000, and long-term planning is also required; during this time, it would lead to a crash in the cryptocurrency sector. Private negotiations are more prudent, clearly not going on-chain but trading in cold wallets.

Lao Cui's personal tendency is definitely towards pragmatism; even though Lao Cui personally started in the virtual economy, there is no problem with this guiding opinion, which Lao Cui supports. Intuitively speaking, Nvidia and Apple have such high market values; only at the cashing stage can we see their actual prices? At this stage, we can only value such companies based on current prices for cashing, which is not the field we want to pursue. If you share Lao Cui's thinking and have a heart for your homeland, wanting to survive domestically, then it should naturally be based on domestic guiding opinions. At the same time, wanting to invest should also be based on the best choices, and these two do not conflict or relate to international influences. This type of interpretation ends here; let’s return to the cryptocurrency market. Some signals that Lao Cui has recently been paying attention to can also be shared with everyone; they are very interesting. Sun Yuchen's personal account has surprisingly been restored in the country; this signal is very ambiguous, and everyone can guess and then verify their own views.

Lao Cui summarizes: the volatility of the Bitcoin market is likely to continue the previous bearish trend, and the only point Lao Cui wants to address is that the real bearish crash has not yet come. The current trend can only be counted as testing the market's emotional response, based on yesterday's actual operations. Some friends asked Lao Cui if it is possible to enter a short position? Lao Cui gives a straightforward opinion; setting stop-loss above 85,000 is a valid entry point, which is the timeline of Lao Cui's first entry. Some people still feel the risk is too high, and Lao Cui can understand this; at the same time, let me clarify, the risk may not necessarily come; Lao Cui is just preparing responses. If individuals cannot accept it, not entering is indeed the best plan. For example, near 87,000, Lao Cui explained that the market would touch this year's high of 92-97 at most before quickly descending. Until now, it has not reached this range, but the risk of going short still exists; everyone should not have a dream of becoming rich quickly, always thinking about entering the market to profit; such positions often fail to yield sufficient returns.

Lao Cui's layout, which can profit over 50,000, is often held for more than a week, which is known as medium-term layout. If one wants to obtain corresponding returns in the short term, based on what Lao Cui knows, currently, the only one capable of guiding everyone is perhaps CZ, but at the same time, you need to distinguish whether he is playing you. Before the outbreak of news, Lao Cui can also provide the upcoming market trend; it is likely to follow a pattern that goes down 2,000-3,000 points and recovers 1,000-2,000 points, estimated to last until the next interest meeting. Low prices will definitely get lower, and the timing for cleaning up bears may concentrate around the meeting period. There is no need for everyone to worry too much; there will not be too much deviation. The trends of small coins, including Ethereum, have almost completed the gains formed by the second wave of declines, and there has been no formation of the third wave within a week. The depth of the market crash will exceed everyone's imagination. The thoughts have been provided; the rest will be left to time to verify Lao Cui's assumptions!

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