How to understand whether BTC is rebounding or reversing? At present, it has been fluctuating between 81500 and 85000. Even if the release on the 20th is partially favorable, Trump's speech (there is nothing the market really wants to hear) has not broken through. The main concern is the tariff in April, progress in Russia and Ukraine, etc. There are still weeks left in this month, so it's unlikely to cause a big wave. It depends on Trump's tariff In April, if Trump's tariff policy can be eased a little, the reaction will not be so great, inflation will be OK in March, or Russia and Ukraine will further release and stop, then market sentiment will be boosted, The price of BTC will rise, even if it does, it will only rebound. Even if it is possible to anticipate interest rate cuts in advance, such as in June or even May, there are still economic and employment issues involved. And the reversal, to put it simply, requires the real arrival of monetary easing. Not yet. Returning to the BTC price, there is no further positive or negative sentiment, so the price continues to fluctuate around 84000, and now a large chip accumulation area has formed at 82300 and 83400. The following figure Keep waiting. Waiting for news to break this situation. By the way, tonight until the opening of the US stock market tomorrow is the worst time for low liquidity, and the market will experience significant fluctuations. Pay attention to what has been said all along.