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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|3月 29, 2025 16:26
How hot is inflation? 1, 3, and 6-month annualized Headline AND Core PCE inflation are now all above +3.0%. 1-month annualized Core PCE inflation is now running at a whopping +4.5%. This is 250 basis points ABOVE the Fed's long-run target, all as the Atlanta Fed now sees -0.5% GDP contraction in Q1 2025. Truly incredible.
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Timeline

4月 28, 14:36【The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June or July】
4月 28, 08:30【Polymarket users predict that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates】
4月 28, 03:10【The future economy will rapidly slow down】
4月 27, 18:55【Regional Federal Reserve GDP Tracker】
4月 27, 17:30【Next week's important macro data and company earnings season】
4月 27, 17:19【The hysteria in the financial market is completely exaggerated】
4月 27, 10:29【Analysis of the reasons for the sell-off of US Treasury bonds and the rise in yields】
4月 27, 07:28【Probability analysis of Fed interest rate cuts】
4月 26, 18:57【Forward market inflation indicators plummet to dangerous zones】
4月 26, 15:38【The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May is 10.4%】

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