US reciprocal tariffs landing: How can the world economy, Bitcoin, and altcoins go? 1、 World Economy: Is a Trade War Coming? Starting from April 5th, the United States will impose a 10% tariff on the world, and from April 9th, it will increase tariffs on 60 regions. The global supply chain is in chaos, and China, Canada, and the European Union may retaliate. If the trade war escalates, global GDP will drop by 0.5% -1%. The market has panicked, and the Nasdaq plunge is a signal. 2、 Bitcoin: Short term decline, long-term rise? Bitcoin fell more than 10% due to its association with risky assets, causing the market to panic and get beaten up. Tariffs push inflation, expectations of Fed rate hikes rise, and high interest rates are unfavorable for BTC. But in the long run, there is a drama: the demand for safe haven will increase, and if Trump promotes the "national Bitcoin reserve", it will be even more favorable. The mining cost has increased by 17% -20%, and the tight supply has also pushed up prices. Short term fluctuations, if 82000 is held, it may surge to 150000 in the medium to long term. 3、 Shanzhai Coin: Does it keep up with the decline? Shanzhai coins have plummeted with BTC, with strong speculation and poor liquidity, and retail investors are running fast. ETH and BNB are supported by the ecosystem, but small currencies are mostly "zeroed out" and have a bleak short-term outlook. In the long run, we look at top projects. 4、 What do we look forward to in the future? The counterattack strength of other countries: if they are hard, the market will fall again. Federal Reserve response: Raising interest rates to suppress BTC, releasing water to take off. Trump's encryption policy: If mining and reserve building are supported, confidence will rebound. Market sentiment: After panic or rebound. 5、 Suggestion BTC： 82000 can hold and build warehouses in batches, with a target of 100000 to 150000. Counterfeit coins: ETH, BNB, try a small amount of water, don't touch small coins. Keep 50% cash and wait for stabilization before making a move. Short term chaos, long-term drama. BTC may turn around, altcoins look to the top.