Some people say that the current situation is similar to 3.12, with the US stock market plummeting for two days and approaching circuit breaker, and then the market will make up for the decline The fact is that the US stock market has fallen sharply for two consecutive days, and the market has not followed suit Cryptocurrencies and the US stock market have actually had the expected trend of tariffs since December, falling for several months, and then exceeding expectations starting to rebound after landing in the last few days But BTC is different from the US stock market. It has no commodity and the property of storing value, so it cannot always be a slave to the US stock market 3.12 is a black swan, it happened suddenly without giving everyone enough time to sell and avoid risks, but this time is different. Trump talked about the tariff issue in November 2024, clarified the policy in January 2025, and then issued a formal forecast in March, giving you several months to avoid risks. Is this also called a black swan? In this situation, Buffett sold several months and six months ahead of schedule, and the main force of BTC began to retreat 3-4 months ahead of schedule since December last year Then every time there is a rebound, the main force reduces their holdings At present, the big pie has been bottoming out here for a month. The main players move in and out, and we should stay on the sidelines. It is difficult to say that there will still be a sharp decline because the main players' chips have already been sold out 3-4 months in advance. Of course, there are still many individual investors' chips that can be sold out, and it is not ruled out that they will continue to fluctuate up and down At present, there are more cycles of consolidation and bottoming out. To truly move out of the right side, we still need to wait and see the situation of funds entering and the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates Line 3-76806 $is likely to hold up here, and after the interest rate cut in the second half of the year, it will be around $120000 to $190000. Taking a median of $150000 is not too much, right This article is sponsored by Bitget | @ Bitgetzh