BTC breaks through 86000, US tariffs take a big turn, can it break through 100000 in May? 1. BTC Market Trends This morning, BTC briefly broke through 86000, and the market is paying attention to its subsequent trend. Some believe that if there are no other conditions, BTC should be able to return to $100000 in May. 2. Changes in US tariff policies The US government has made a 180 degree turn in its tariff policy, exempting some goods from "equivalent tariffs" and exempting electronic products such as smartphones, computers, and chips from so-called "equivalent tariffs". The exempted products are applicable to electronic products entering the US after April 5th, and refunds can be sought for those already paid. 3. The impact of tariff policy changes This measure may alleviate the pressure of price increases for American consumers, benefiting companies such as Apple and Samsung. Previously, various assets in the United States plummeted, and Trump's approval rating declined. The reduction of tariffs this time may be a measure to ease pressure, and the United States is negotiating with different countries to lower tariffs. There may be more good news in the future, and the overall market situation is improving. 4. Potential black swan events ① The United States and Iran are negotiating to cancel their nuclear program. If Iran does not agree, there may be a war between Israel and the United States bombing Iran, which could lead to a 10% drop in BTC, with a current possibility of 20%. ② Mentougou suddenly sells coins, with a possibility of 30%. BTC worth over 1 billion US dollars is sold out, which is difficult for the current market to digest and may lead to a 5% drop in BTC. Investment carries risks, it is recommended to invest with spare money and make independent decisions. BTC