one 's sabre-rattling is getting louder and the smell of gunpowder thicker! 4.18 Bitcoin Life and Death Battle: 85000 Attack and Defense War is about to erupt! BTC price is like a startled bird, wildly fluctuating around $84800! The fierce battle between long and short is raging, and even a slight mistake could result in losing everything! 1、 Market analysis 1. Market trend BTC has repeatedly fluctuated between $83700-85500 in the past 24 hours, a typical "box oscillation" market where the main players sell high and buy low, and retail investors may be caught off guard. 2. Technical indicators ① Daily level: EMA30 ($83800) is a strong support level, which has not been broken after multiple retracements, indicating that the bulls are still resisting; Although the DIF and DEA of MACD are increasing, the quantity and energy are insufficient, and the upward momentum is lacking; The middle band of the Bollinger Bands ($84000) has become a key short-term defense line, and once it falls below, the price may approach $83000. ② 4-hour level: There is huge selling pressure around $86000, and the K-line continues to close with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bearish forces should not be underestimated; At the same time, MACD has experienced a contraction and divergence from its peak, leading to a sharp increase in short-term pullback risk. 3. Macro factors ① Market closure: Due to Good Friday, the US market is closed today, resulting in a sharp decrease in market liquidity, and the market is likely to continue its volatile trend. ② Policy risks: Powell warns Trump tariffs may push up inflation, expectations of Fed rate hikes increase, BTC faces strong pressure at $86.5K - $88K; Although tariffs on mobile phones and chips have been temporarily relaxed, the word "temporary" is like the sword of Damocles, and funds dare not enter in large quantities. 2、 Operation strategy 1. Short term band ① Long: Take a light long position in the range of $83500-83000, set the stop loss at $82500, and aim for $84500-85500. ② Short selling: Place a short position around $85500-86000, with a stop loss level of $86500 and a target price range of $84000-83500. 2. Fixed investment 83000 holds first position, builds positions in batches, and adopts a good strategy. If the 83000 support is broken, the short-term pullback may increase. If there is a sharp drop, it is a time for explosive profits. BTC