Indeed, trading against human nature is the norm in the market. Often, the rise or fall of a market can only be objectively concluded after the fact, such as the liquidity crisis of 312 and the subsequent unlimited release of QE. While we may have some foresight, we cannot change our understanding of the objective market situation at that time, and therefore cannot determine future expectations for price increases or decreases. The internal logic cannot be fully verified. This is also the charm of trading, and it always reminds us to have a sense of awe towards the market! The so-called foresight comes from your observation of the market, such as the typical peak structure of Bitcoin technology on the eve of 312! Of course, I believe that those familiar with macro and on chain data can also have some foresight.