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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|5月 21, 2025 19:42
We are on an unsustainable fiscal path: The US Debt-to-GDP ratio is set to reach 220% by 2055, according to the CBO. This assumes the 2017 tax reductions will be extended indefinitely. That would be a whopping 64 percentage points higher than the baseline projection. In this case, the budget deficit would reach 12.3% of GDP by 2054, 5 percentage points higher than the base forecast. This would be even higher than the 9.8% recorded in 2009. By comparison, in 2020, the deficit hit 14.7% of GDP, only below WWII levels. The debt crisis is an understatement.
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Timeline

6月 20, 15:21【US debt exceeds 37 trillion】
6月 20, 01:29【US treasury bond exceeds US $37 trillion】
6月 18, 23:54【Three Misunderstandings about US Debt and Deficit】
6月 17, 23:42【Can the United States afford another disaster】
6月 16, 13:45【Foreign demand for the United States is declining】
6月 13, 23:24【Public debt levels higher than before the pandemic】
6月 12, 04:59【Gundam: US Treasury bonds are no longer safe haven assets】
6月 11, 16:51【The US debt ceiling must be raised and extended】
6月 11, 16:22【Whether the tax bill will increase the US debt remains to be seen】
6月 10, 12:54【The market value of the US bond market has dropped to 68% of the stock market】

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