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Phyrex
Phyrex|Jun 06, 2025 11:12
Before today's non farm payroll data, employment and unemployment data should be the focus of each month's data. However, before the official implementation of tariffs, unless there is a significant increase in the unemployment rate, it should not have any impact on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. In the past week, several Federal Reserve officials have made it very clear that if the official tariffs (equivalent) are not implemented for a day, the Federal Reserve may become more cautious. So the market no longer has hope for a rate cut before the third quarter, especially after the release of GDP data. The probability of the United States entering an economic recession has once again decreased, and there are no analysts talking about a recession in the short term. So now the unemployment rate data has returned to the time when both good and bad data were good. A slight increase in unemployment rate can increase expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, and it will not overly stimulate the topic of recession. The decline in unemployment rate indicates that the US economy is still in good condition, and the Federal Reserve itself has no intention of cutting interest rates in advance. Therefore, a good economy can also promote investors' risk appetite. Then there is the employment population, which is definitely better with more data, but the impact should not be significant as long as it is not significantly lower than expected. In addition, there is a change in wages, and an increase in wages is definitely a good economic benefit. According to current market expectations, if it can meet expectations, it can still boost investor sentiment. Especially since Tesla has almost returned to $300 before the market opened, the market needs some positive news to calm its mood. Of course, if the non farm payroll data explodes, this weekend will be difficult. This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex
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Timeline

Jul 04, 14:01【Strong employment report delays Fed rate cut】
Jul 04, 10:08【BTC price 108930, global shortage of money affecting altcoins】
Jul 04, 02:50【Goldman Sachs lowers its expectations for US bond yields】
Jul 03, 22:15【The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%】
Jul 03, 20:48【Non farm payroll data far exceeds expectations, indicating the resilience of the US economy】
Jul 03, 20:46【Non farm payroll data release affects market sentiment】
Jul 03, 17:51【The Federal Reserve sends market signals】
Jul 03, 15:52【There is a significant risk that the pressure of price increase will continue for a period of time】
Jul 03, 15:43【The US economy may experience longer periods of high inflation】
Jul 03, 15:25【The likelihood of a US economic recession is only 19%】

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