The market changes in the past two days are still closely related to the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, but starting from the middle of the week, they will be influenced by the macro factors of the United States, such as retail data, dot charts, etc. Especially, the dot chart may be more important. Currently, the market expectation is to cut interest rates twice in 2025. If the result of the dot chart is greater than or equal to 2, there is still a chance for a September interest rate cut, but if it is less than 2, it is not good news for the market. I still don't understand much about war, so I don't have much say. However, I will focus on the trend of oil prices, especially US crude oil (USOL). For example, when USOL opened just now, the price has been falling, which indicates that investors still expect oil prices to decrease. Therefore, the impact on US inflation is not significant, and both US stocks and BTC are generally rising. After all, during the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, the trends of oil prices, Bitcoin, and the US stock market are opposite, so this indicator is also a good reference. This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex