The volatile market has finally experienced a good rebound, and the reason is quite simple. The decline that started on May 22nd has been 30 days, and the decline that started on June 10th has been almost half a month, with all indicators oversold. After the rebound in volume in the early morning of Monday, there is a high probability that last night's dip was a 4-hour second dip. Last night's second dip was more open at 99900 and 2202. In addition, it can be seen from the news that the decline from 10.9 to 9.8w has fully priced out geopolitical risks. The only way to escalate a war between several non adjacent countries is to blockade the strait and assassinate their leaders. Throwing missiles at each other won't have any impact. In a market that has already been priced, any easing will lead to a major rebound. So don't think you have to fall just because you see war (that's how Ding Crab died in the big era) In recent days, some Federal Reserve officials have hinted at a rate cut in July, and the probability has indeed increased, but it is still less than 25%. Pay attention to this matter in July. I don't think we will cut interest rates, so if we go up, we still need to take profits. In addition, if the ceasefire officially takes effect, the market will have to return to interest rate cuts, tariffs, and economic fundamentals. Only with interest rate cuts or the official passage of the stablecoin bill can there be a possibility of a major wave, otherwise it will still be a shock, and it is still necessary to take profits. During the period of shock, both long and short positions cannot be greedy.