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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 81.9%

金色财经
金色财经|6月 29, 2025 22:36
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 81.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 18.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 7.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 76%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 16.4%. (Golden Ten)
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Timeline

7月 29, 20:29【Strong rebound in US GDP in Q2】
7月 29, 20:25【Month end pranks and the de risking of Federal Reserve decisions】
7月 29, 17:11【Expected to make a decision, guidance is crucial】
7月 29, 16:33【The US economy has been expanding for 63 months】
7月 29, 15:30【BTC spot ETF data changes moderately】
7月 29, 11:32【Will gold and US copper prices improve】
7月 29, 10:01【Ethereum's dominant position in open interest rates climbs to nearly 40%】
7月 29, 09:01【The Federal Reserve will decide on interest rate policy】
7月 29, 07:26【Data has no lasting impact on the market】
7月 29, 05:14【The Federal Reserve will remain inactive this week】

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