BTC: As of June 30, 2025, the current price of BTC is $107700; Yesterday's closing pattern was a "small bullish line", indicating that in the short term, multiple parties have taken the initiative, but the volume and energy are insufficient, and the upward momentum may be limited. On chain data has only had a flow of over 20000 pieces in the past 24 hours, with extremely low liquidity and insufficient market participation. At the macro level, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" shows a probability of 81.9% for keeping interest rates unchanged in July and a probability of 76% for a 25 basis point rate cut in September. The cooling market expectations may suppress BTC's upward potential. This week's unemployment rate data and the July tariff and monetary policy game will be key variables. Overall, Bitcoin is still in a range of fluctuations in the short term, with strong support in the $93000-98000 range and ordinary support in the $100500-105000 range. Without significant negative impacts, it is difficult to experience a deep pullback in the short term.