BitUnix analyst: The impressive performance of US Treasury bonds drives the market to bet on interest rate cuts in advance, and short-term cryptocurrency welcomes the opportunity for liquidity expectations to rebound

According to BlockBeats, on June 30th, the US Treasury market rebounded strongly, with the 10-year yield falling to 4.26%, marking the best performance in the first half of the year in five years. The market is generally betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year, and data shows that although the probability of a rate cut in July is low, it has risen to 20%. Investors ignore the uncertainty of Trump's tax reform and focus on the upcoming employment data and inflation trends. If non farm payroll data is weak and inflation remains under control, it will significantly increase market expectations for an early interest rate cut. BitUnix analysts suggest: With the expected increase in liquidity, cryptocurrency assets are facing a short-term rebound opportunity. If BTC remains stable at $106000, it is expected to challenge the pressure in the $110000 range. It is recommended to follow the trend, but it is important to control positions. Pay attention to non farm data and June CPI performance. If there is a significant weakness, risk asset support will be strengthened; On the contrary, we should still guard against the risk of falling back. The midline will be adjusted after the Federal Reserve's policies become clear.