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Morgan Stanley: The Federal Reserve is still unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future

金色财经
金色财经|Jun 30, 2025 23:02
According to a report by Golden Finance, Morgan Stanley analysts stated in a research report that the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the next two meetings is still low. The market's likelihood of a rate cut in July has increased from 8% to 20%, and the likelihood of a rate cut in September has increased from 60% to 90%. But analysts say that most Fed officials support Powell's cautious stance and are unlikely to support a rate cut soon. Analysts predict that the upcoming employment report will be relatively robust, although the growth rate has slowed down, there is no sign of a rift that will prompt the Federal Reserve to accelerate its actions.
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Timeline

Jul 30, 20:10【Waller and Bauman may speak out on Friday】
Jul 30, 20:01【The US dollar soared to a high of 2 million US dollars】
Jul 30, 19:46【Probability analysis of interest rate cut in September meeting】
Jul 30, 19:46【Thanks to Powell and the Federal Reserve, finally making money】
Jul 30, 19:44【Powell refuses to cut interest rates again, tariffs have not triggered inflation】
Jul 30, 19:44【Thanks to the Federal Reserve, investors are finally making money】
Jul 30, 19:21【Jerome Powell hates the existence of our industry】
Jul 30, 19:03【The US economy is stable, and it is expected to only cut interest rates once this year】
Jul 30, 18:55【The job market remains stable】
Jul 30, 18:46【Powell's statement leans towards a hawkish stance】

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