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Nick Timiraos
Nick Timiraos|7月 03, 2025 14:24
The June jobs report does little to reconcile a hazy outlook for Fed cuts besides very likely torpedoing whatever chance there was of a July cut, particularly if stocks continue to push to new highs. https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/june-jobs-report-likely-to-extend-feds-summer-pause-2e523c1e?st=gYbiCg&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink If you thought the labor market was gently cooling and were worried about a non-linear rise in unemployment, you'll be able to point to the narrow breadth of hiring to sustain this argument. If you thought the labor market was in fundamentally decent shape and bound to hit choppy air amid the April policy chaos on tariffs, plus more muscular efforts to deport workers here illegally (which hits supply and demand), plus federal cutbacks, this report also confirms your priors.
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Timeline

8月 02, 14:07【The stock market plummeted by $1.1 trillion】
8月 02, 10:31【New tariff red line triggers' final battle '】
8月 02, 09:15【The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September】
8月 02, 02:29【Federal Reserve's Williams talks about labor market cooling】
8月 01, 23:33【Kevin Walsh's bet to replace Powell skyrockets】
8月 01, 23:04【The unemployment rate is 4.2%, and the stock market is soaring】
8月 01, 22:16【The Federal Reserve has no reason not to cut interest rates】
8月 01, 21:03【Market downturn raises concerns about economic expectations】
8月 01, 20:49【Market stimulus, Trump and employment data attract attention】
8月 01, 15:17【Bitcoin、 Ethereum falls】

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