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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%

金色财经
金色财经|7月 03, 2025 22:15
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 33%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 64%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 3%.
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Timeline

8月 02, 18:20【The employment report increases the possibility of interest rate cuts】
8月 02, 15:53【The market downturn is inexplicable but traceable】
8月 02, 15:50【Federal Reserve's Williams talks about non farm payroll report employment data】
8月 02, 15:00【The severe employment situation affects the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts】
8月 02, 14:07【The stock market plummeted by $1.1 trillion】
8月 02, 10:31【New tariff red line triggers' final battle '】
8月 02, 09:15【The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September】
8月 02, 02:29【Federal Reserve's Williams talks about labor market cooling】
8月 01, 23:33【Kevin Walsh's bet to replace Powell skyrockets】
8月 01, 22:16【The Federal Reserve has no reason not to cut interest rates】

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