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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|7月 10, 2025 16:59
Are wages stagnating in the US? The share of Americans not receiving any pay raises rose to 13.3%, the highest in 4 years. This percentage has increased by ~3 points over the last 2 years. It now exceeds the 2001 recession levels and is in line with 2008 levels. Adjusted for 2.4% CPI inflation, this implies that millions of Americans are experiencing a decline in real wages. While top-line employment figures remain robust, underlying job market dynamics are softening. Is this really a strong labor market?
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Timeline

8月 02, 15:00【The severe employment situation affects the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts】
7月 30, 15:32【The default rate of high-income Americans rose】
7月 27, 18:59【Only 14% of Americans own BITCOIN】
7月 25, 18:58【More evidence of a weak labor market in the United States】
7月 22, 16:58【More Americans own Bitcoin than gold】
7月 22, 14:58【The US dollar is facing downward pressure】
7月 21, 12:40【Various strategies bring liquidity to bull markets】
7月 20, 00:25【The number of employed people may be exaggerated to about 800000】
7月 16, 01:50【The price of Bitcoin may exceed one million】
7月 11, 13:11【Over 30 million homeowners have no mortgage loans】

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