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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July has risen to 97.4%

金色财经
金色财经|7月 15, 2025 13:06
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", after the release of CPI data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 38.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 59.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.6%.
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Timeline

8月 14, 13:04The election for the next Federal Reserve Chairman has become exciting
8月 14, 12:58The significant decline in non-agricultural employment raises economic questions
8月 14, 12:52The Federal Reserve's inflation index will be released at the end of July
8月 14, 12:32Interest rate futures traders reduce bets on Fed rate cuts
8月 14, 12:20The Federal Reserve may start cutting interest rates by 25 basis points
8月 14, 08:54Federal Reserve Daley: It's not appropriate to cut interest rates significantly next month
8月 14, 07:02The market is betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September
8月 14, 03:18Opposition is bound to emerge at the Federal Reserve's September meeting
8月 13, 19:04Traders have digested the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts
8月 13, 18:35Reduce interest rate by 50 BP

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