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Kaitou Macro: Trump's dismissal of Powell will impact the market, and the new chairman will not cut interest rates as expected

星球日报
星球日报|7月 18, 2025 07:18
Odaily Planet Daily News - Stephen Brown, Deputy Chief Economist for North America at Capital Economics, pointed out in a report that Wednesday's market reaction foreshadows how investors may respond if Trump implements the threat to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Brown stated that at that time, the yields of the US dollar, stocks, and short-term bonds may decline, while long-term yields may soar. Trump has refuted reports that he attempted to dismiss Powell, stating that it is "highly unlikely". However, the new chairman of the Federal Reserve is likely to be announced long before Powell's term ends in May 2026. Brown emphasized that even with a change in chairman, it is highly unlikely for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 300 basis points as called for by Trump. (Golden Ten)
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8月 17, 05:58The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has dropped to 92.1%
8月 17, 05:00The likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is 92.1%
8月 16, 12:11Market correction, fluctuating investor sentiment
8月 16, 11:25The central bank's interest rate cut will affect long-term interest rates
8月 16, 11:02Long term interest rates will decrease, including mortgage rates
8月 15, 13:32Unexpectedly high inflation rate in the United States
8月 15, 12:57Powell seems to have been replaced, and September's cut is a foregone conclusion
8月 15, 12:42Traders lower expectations for Fed rate cuts
8月 15, 12:33Traders lower Federal Reserve interest rates
8月 15, 12:28Marc Sumerlin supports a 50 Bps rate cut due to curve reversal

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