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|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲71019.98
+
0.22%
ETHETH
💲2089.51
-
0.21%
SOLSOL
💲87.72
-
0.65%
USDCUSDC
💲0.9998
-
0%
TRUMPTRUMP
💲4.07
+
4.09%
WLDWLD
💲0.3571
-
0.17%

Adam
Adam|7月 18, 2025 21:57
Every day, I come to this place and see numerous posts about "alpha" and "edge," which are always extremely discretionary heuristics illustrated with handpicked examples. What is actually the edge? -Risk premium: risk above the risk-free rate, mainly basically buying stuff that can go technically to zero, but historically it doesn't and goes up (indices, stonks, bitcoin seems a pretty good candidate in the last decade, and so on.) -Variance risk premium: volatility in a lot of markets is often overpriced because people are retarded gamblers. You will see this often in SPX due to the way options are priced, or in single stocks around earnings. So you can sell options/volatility products to profit from that. Basically, the edge in markets is just being able to provide liquidity at places where a lot of people don't want to. Your risk is often big tail events, and you profit from "nothing ever happens" meme scenarios. There is obviously a lot of other stuff you can do, especially in crypto (getting early into high negative funding short squeezes, different misspricings, fading end of short squeezes etc.), but it is very rare to just find edge in charts drawing lines, especially in most of these coins I see on timeline which have like .9 correlation with BTC.(adam)
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Timeline

8月 15, 19:42Cryptocurrency enthusiasts purchase meme bags at high prices
8月 10, 09:00【Liquidity will peak in the third quarter of 2025】
8月 06, 13:16【A plan to profit from liquid pledge news】
8月 02, 20:24【Embrace a cruel August】
8月 02, 10:07【BTC still has a long way to go】
7月 29, 06:52【Search for profitable stocks in US and EU transactions】
7月 25, 09:08【Stablecoins is the biggest opportunity for encryption】
7月 25, 05:19【Crypto market shrinks in the sign of record liquidity and foam】
7月 23, 14:37【Reflection and Challenges on the Fifth Anniversary of DeFance Capital's Establishment】
7月 23, 14:21【Reflection and Challenges on the Fifth Anniversary of DeFance Capital's Establishment】

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