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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|8月 01, 2025 13:24
There are 2 scenarios after today's data: 1. The US labor market is entering a recession 2. Something is seriously wrong with the data The unemployment rate is rising and -258,000 jobs have seemingly disappeared from the data in 2 months. That's more than the entire population of Scottsdale, Arizona in a single data revision. This comes just 24 hours after the Fed said we have a "strong labor market." Something doesn't add up.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

8月 31, 13:17Truflation data signals a yellow light and red light for inflation
8月 31, 13:14Traditionally the weakest month for U.S. stocks and crypto.
8月 30, 10:40Federal Reserve policy trends and labor market data become the focus of the market
8月 30, 09:37The U.S. stock market ended August with overall gains.
8月 30, 07:20Bitcoin is in free fall
8月 29, 20:26Gold is about to close at its highest candlestick ever.
8月 29, 18:54The Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement usage amounted to $77.898 billion.
8月 29, 17:00The market focuses on core PCE data and non-farm employment data
8月 29, 12:47The Federal Reserve's core inflation indicator shows tariff costs remain stable
8月 29, 12:42The Federal Reserve's inflation gauge does not indicate tariff costs are out of control

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