
The Kobeissi Letter|Aug 01, 2025 13:24
There are 2 scenarios after today's data:
1. The US labor market is entering a recession
2. Something is seriously wrong with the data
The unemployment rate is rising and -258,000 jobs have seemingly disappeared from the data in 2 months.
That's more than the entire population of Scottsdale, Arizona in a single data revision.
This comes just 24 hours after the Fed said we have a "strong labor market."
Something doesn't add up.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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