
Phyrex|Aug 02, 2025 08:56
Yesterday, when I was about to go to bed, I saw that the price had dropped below $113000. I thought the panic would intensify, but I didn't expect it to stabilize temporarily after waking up at noon. It's a pity that the URPD gap of $112000 has not been filled yet, which is also my personal concern. After all, the URPD gap has never been left unfilled in history, it's just a matter of time.
Of course, it doesn't necessarily mean that we will make up for it this time. However, from a probability perspective, even if we don't make up for it this time, we won't be able to escape in the future. This has nothing to do with being bullish or bearish, it's just a clich é statement.
In addition, BTC has a short-term gap between $91970 and $92525 in CME, and the only gap for ETH is between $2853 and $2925. Of course, compared to the gap in URPD, CME's gap is not so certain that it will be filled. My backtesting data shows a probability of about 91% that the gap will be filled.
At present, there is a 47% loss on multiple orders, and there is no plan to cut losses yet. Let's take a look first.
This article is sponsored by Bitget | @ Bitgetzh
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