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Bank of America: High inflation and tariffs may hinder Fed's September interest rate cut

金色财经
金色财经|Aug 11, 2025 22:44
The Bank of America research report stated that there is insufficient reason for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September, as the current inflation rate is still above the 2% target, and the increase in tariffs may exacerbate price pressures. Bank of America warns that premature interest rate cuts may lead to an easing cycle before inflation reaches its peak, and maintains its forecast of 'no interest rate cuts this year'. At the same time, it is pointed out that the downward revision of non farm employment data may increase the risk of passive interest rate cuts due to the deterioration of the labor market.
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Timeline

Sep 10, 21:30Kalshi traders believe there is a 43% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in 2025.
Sep 10, 18:45JPMorgan's Outlook on Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
Sep 10, 16:55Standard Chartered Bank predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points
Sep 10, 14:00The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates three times.
Sep 10, 13:08PPI is far below expectations
Sep 10, 12:46El-Erian advocates for a 50 basis point rate cut
Sep 10, 12:36Traders increase bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts
Sep 10, 12:35The market bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts
Sep 10, 12:33Carlyle Group Warns of Blurred Roles Between the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department
Sep 10, 12:25Multiple banks raise expectations for the number of Fed rate cuts

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