In the last cycle, BTC and ETH topped in November 2021, however it wasn't before March/April 2022 I realized we probably were about to enter a bear market (BTC already 40% lower at this point). It took so long to realize this mainly due to the fact that many altcoins still were performing quite well. In this cycle too, we probably won't realize that the top is in before several months have passed.(Route 2 FI)