[Probability of a Fed Rate Cut in September at 75.5% Ahead of Powell's Speech] Odaily Planet Daily reports, according to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 24.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 75.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 13%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 51.5% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 35.5%.