[Probability of Fed Rate Cut in September Rises to 91.1% After Powell's Speech] Odaily Planet Daily reports, according to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 8.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 91.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 4.3%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 48.9% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 46.8%.