TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|Aug 31, 2025 11:03
Thank you for your correction. I previously searched for the TRUMP token model using GROK, but did not carefully verify it. Additionally, due to the long time, my memory became blurry and I made a mistake in unlocking the model. After verification, please resend it. Tomorrow, the WLFI token will be launched, and many people are worried that it will drain the liquidity of the cryptocurrency circle and cause a sharp drop, just like the TRUMP coin launched at the beginning of the year. And now the market is in a slump, which exacerbates this concern. So let's approach the research with a precautionary mindset. 1. To start with the timing of the coin issue and the market trend at that time, the TRUMP coin was issued three days before the inauguration ceremony of Trump on January 17, mainly to prevent the president from making money while in office. But after Trump was shot last year, he locked the victory of the general election in advance. Later, the situation at the end of the voting in each state was very clear, and the 100BP interest rate cut market had risen for three or four months to the end of the market. And from September to December last year, there was a surge in MEME coins for three to four months, with countless celebrity coins. The overall atmosphere of the altcoin market is much better than it is now. And the gimmick of the president's first coin issuance is also very impressive. 2. The preheating of WLFI has actually been almost a year (WLFI project started its first pre-sale on October 15, 2024), during which there have been significant adjustments and changes in direction, strategy, and framework. At the same time, optimization adjustments have been made to the current market characteristics, including token models and unlocking mechanisms. Even the market makers on the platform are believed to be more sophisticated than the trial run TRUMP. 3. The current market does not have the conditions of abundant liquidity for altcoins, especially MEME coins, at the beginning of the year, and the overall market atmosphere is not even as good as last year, except for Ethereum. That means there is no extra blood available for WLFI to draw. 4. Similar to TRUMP, both have a 20% first day circulation, but may intentionally limit short-term selling pressure and liquidity shocks. After all, there is more time to plan market making, and if it goes badly, it will not be good for reputation. Overall, it is more likely to adopt a project-based knockoff logic (PEPE/SHIB) that runs smoothly. However, there will definitely be a lot of selling pressure in the short term after going online. If the pattern is large, take a triple top to shake up the position and wash the market to make the leeks feel convinced. If the pattern is small, first break through and make profits through short positions, and then go through a long-term bottom wash before rising. It is not recommended for people who have not participated in pre-sales to chase after high prices. In short, I don't think WLFI will cause a significant drop in liquidity like TRUMP did, as market expectations have been largely digested after so much speculation. At that time, the enthusiasm of FOMO chasing TRUMP was difficult to reproduce. WLFI is more like a remedy for the regret of the hastily launched TRUMP coin. The impact on the market tomorrow is likely to be neither painful nor itchy. The small probability is the market catalyst. The Trump family plans to attract more traditional funds to the counterfeit currency market (but also to cut leeks rather than send money). Essentially, it depends on whether this plate will trigger a chain reaction in the current sluggish market. For example, after tomorrow's opening, the liquidity of the pancake still hasn't recovered, and it happens to be due to the local market volatility caused by this coin (skyrocketing and sucking blood, and plummeting causing emotional panic). PS: Interests are irrelevant, political tokens are too complex to participate in. Just researching whether it will affect the overall market.
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