
NingNing|Sep 01, 2025 02:54
Three key judgments about WLFI:
1⃣ The popular hedging + LP strategy on CT overlooks the fact that WLFI is distributed via ICO rather than a large-scale airdrop. The token structure and game dynamics between the two are worlds apart. After WLFI launches, the spot volatility and on-chain trading volume may not generate enough fee income to cover the comprehensive costs of hedging + LP, which include on-chain MEV losses, slippage, gas fees, transaction fees, and funding fees for hedging contracts.
2⃣ Considering the impressive OI and trading volume data for WLFI pre-market contracts listed on platforms like Binance and Hyperliquid, WLFI has already been fully priced in. It’s expected that on the spot launch day, WLFI’s price will experience significant fluctuations within the current range ($0.28–$0.40), driven by volatility rather than price movement.
3⃣ Price performance predictions for post-launch time periods:
12:00–13:00 UTC:
Probability: Moderate rise to the $0.34–$0.36 range
Logic: Positive funding rates + hype around unlocking
13:00–16:00 UTC:
Probability: Consolidation within the $0.32–$0.36 range
Logic: Balance between profit-taking and new buying pressure
16:00–24:00 UTC:
Probability: Testing the $0.36 resistance level, potential breakout to $0.40
Logic: Increased liquidity during U.S. trading hours + social media buzz
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