
DC大于C|Sep 02, 2025 12:53
Changes in On Chain Chip Accumulation from SOL 8.26 to 9.2, Restoring Market Behavior Weekly Report Updated Every Tuesday
Chart based on SOL URPD data showing the flow of SOL on the chain from 8:00 am on August 26 to 9.2 am. Macro and event driven BTC sentiment, as well as SOL self narrative (SOL version micro strategy and SOL ETF speculation) ecology, combined with judging SOL sentiment changes
This week's main concern was last Friday's PCE data, which met expectations but was higher than before, but still raised concerns about inflation. However, BTC is also doing well. Despite experiencing low liquidity during the weekend holiday, it has not fallen further today. It has also rebounded from a low of 107 and fluctuated above 109, driving SOL to fluctuate in the 195-207 range. After three days of holiday, the US stock market is about to open. You can pay attention to market sentiment.
As of the deadline for publication, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September is 89.8%, which is not much different from Tuesday's data. Data source: https://www. (cmegroup. com)/markets/interest rates/cme-fdwatch-tool.exe mainly includes this week's labor force data, especially the unemployment rate on Friday. It is still a market interpretation, and we need to observe the market's interpretation of interest rate cuts.
Looking back at the data chart, the changes in position and proportion in the chart were from the 26th to 8:00 am on September 2nd, where red represents selling and blue represents buying.
From the 26th to the 9th, there were over 54 million chip exchanges per week, with the highest turnover being between $135-182, mainly due to profitable chips in recent months. The second highest turnover was in the early stages, with over 5 million chips exchanged below $100, which is very early. Finally, there are those priced above $215, which is not a large range. Change hands to the range of $185-218. This is also the rally range for this week, and then it will remain volatile.
There hasn't been any major change in essence, but the keywords of vehicle weight, chasing price increases and killing prices, and less inflow of funds still remain weak.
There is no independent narrative, no ETF approved, and for now, it is mostly following the volatility of the market.
The previous short-term support is between 165-176, which is the old support, and the new short-term support is in the range of 176-195. Although there were several attempts to probe below 195 in the past few days, the probing quickly pulled it back.
The next week will mainly focus on labor data, which is both favorable for interest rate cuts and without any expectation of economic recession. This is indeed a headache, as evidenced by the data. At present, it seems that the market's expected data itself may not be so good. At that time, it will depend on the published values and how the market interprets them. This emotion affects the rise and fall of BTC, thereby driving the volatility of SOL.
To put it simply, BTC is currently above 107-108, while SOL is above 195. With the release of this data, market sentiment is very complex, not just a simple rise or fall. It may experience rapid fluctuations up and down.
The above is not intended as investment advice and is provided for reference and learning. Thank you everyone, we will continue to update next Tuesday.
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