The Fed's mouthpiece is working hard to hold the fort one last time, leaking information ahead of schedule. This means that both the major and minor non-farm payrolls this week probably won't be too bad. Under the premise that a rate cut in September is basically confirmed, this dispels last month's recession concerns triggered by the absurdly high non-farm payrolls. So, combined with the current market trend, the probability of an upward move is higher.