[Probability of Fed Rate Cut in September Reaches 97.6%] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in September is 2.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 97.6%. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged in October is 1.1%, with the cumulative probabilities of a 25 basis point and 50 basis point rate cut being 46.7% and 52.1%, respectively.