
Hanzo ㊗️|Sep 04, 2025 15:30
Prediction Markets – The Perfect Manipulation Space
every single token, has team, dev or MM behind it.
can you spot and follow them to outplay the crowd?
so if it's an altcoin, you can use:
> psychology
> tokenomics
> logic
> on chain analysis
> TA
and if it's a memecoin, you can use:
> trading bots
> on-chain anylysis
> X analysis
> TA
when you lose, it's usually your fault, simply because all info was available on-chain.
when talking about prediction markets, you have:
> newspapers
> internet
> news screeners or smth like that
> logic
but the problem is that you can never have info earlier or at least at the same time as some other participants.
every news you read, was written by someone, and before they were written, the info had to pass at least several people.
you believe none of them gonna use this info to bet on prediction markets?
>>> so for me, current state of prediction market is super early
> there are might be no or little manipulators or insiders yet
> markets resolvements have some issues
> liquidity is low
prediction markets aka polymarket or kalshi have potential, but they have to be strictly regulated to avoid all the problems, I've mentioned
and the main question remains open:
prediction markets will be used by insiders as a field for quick money and manipulations? or they will be used by some big guys as a huge crowd analysis data tool.
just like arkham never was just the nice on-chain analysis tool(Hanzo ㊗️)
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