
Phyrex|Sep 05, 2025 18:32
Be cautious about shorting because Trump is in the picture, and Trump doesn’t care about data. His demand is rate cuts, so it’s very likely he could trigger an artificial boom. Let me give an extreme example: if Trump controls more than half of the voting members of the Federal Reserve and demands a 3% rate cut within six months, it would likely drive short-term market frenzy, pushing risk markets upward. Of course, the actual probability of this happening is low, but Trump pushing for rate cuts is inevitable.
So as long as the market believes Trump is gaining the upper hand in his battle with the Federal Reserve, there will be expectations of short-term market gains. Therefore, shorting is not recommended—buying on dips is the better strategy. Trump’s actions are hard to predict; he’s a completely different leader compared to Biden. Trump’s goal is rate cuts to stimulate the economy and reduce the U.S. government’s fiscal deficit. As for inflation?
That might be something Vance needs to worry about.
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