
lanxing |蓝鸟会🔆|Sep 13, 2025 01:19
Okay, here's an OKB strategy card (using your preferred "multi-level+ATR+key moving average" method):
OKB/USDT Strategy Card
Conclusion first: The daily chart is still in a bullish structure, and in the short term, it has just pulled sharply from around 189 to around 200, with average cost-effectiveness in pursuing high prices. Prioritize buying near the 20/25 day moving average when waiting for a retracement; If you don't step back from a strong position, use "breakthrough backtesting" to get on the car again. Not considering short selling for now.
Multi level disk reading
The 1D: 5/10/20 daily moving average is bullish, with prices above it. There is selling pressure in the front high range of 210-215, followed by 240 and 258 (stage highs).
4H: After experiencing a sharp pullback from 210 to 189, the moving average re sticks upwards; There is support near MA30 ≈ 193 and MA60 ≈ 189.
1H: After a V-shaped rebound, it oscillates between 198-202 without amplification of volume and energy, making it suitable for waiting for signals rather than chasing prices.
Key price range
• Support: 197196 (1H/4H moving average band), 193192 (4H MA20/30 zone), 189188 (4H MA60&yesterday's low), and even lower at 183181 (around the daily average of 20/25).
• Pressure: 202 (integer and intraday high), 210~215, 230, 240, 258.
ATR (volatility) estimation
• 4H recent intervals 189 ↔ 202, with a single fluctuation of about 6~8u. Using 1.3~1.5 × ATR (4H) as a stop loss buffer is more noise resistant.
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Plan A (priority): Multiple step back connections
• Hanging area: 196.5193.5, 23 batches of suction (e.g. 40% in 196.5, 40% in 195, 20% in 193.5).
Stop loss: uniformly set at 187.5 (approximately 1.3-1.5 times ATR below the average entry price), providing a 4% -6% safety cushion; More conservative can be placed at 184.5.
• Take profit/reduce position:
T1: Reduce 30% from 205 to 210 (stop loss at cost after reaching)
T2: Reduce by 30% from 220 to 225
T3:240~245 Leave the tail compartment to check if it impacts 258
• Mobile stop loss: Then use 1 x ATR (4H) to track, or lock below 4H MA20.
Plan B: Strong breakthrough approach
• Trigger: 1H physical bullish line with a trading volume of 202 on the station, and confirmation is obtained by stepping back 201~202.
Entry: 201.8~202.5 retracement transactions.
Stop loss: 195.5 (≈ 1 x ATR below breakthrough level), if the volatility increases, it can be placed at 193.5.
Take profit/reduce position: Same as plan A (T1 first look at 210-215).
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Position and risk (very important)
Spot/10 x per warehouse may amplify returns, but the risk of a single transaction should be controlled within 1% to 1.5% of the account's net asset value.
Taking 15000 U as an example, Plan A has an average entry of 195 and a stop loss of 187.5 (risk of 7.5u/coin):
Allow a loss of 1%=150U → maximum number of coins ≈ 150/7.5=20 (leverage is arbitrary, but risk is calculated based on "price fluctuation x quantity").
Do not stack highly correlated varieties in the same direction to avoid systematic wave resonance and continuous loss.
Trigger invalid/abandon condition
If the daily closing price falls below 190 and the volume can increase, it is considered to disrupt the upward trend; Clearance and observation, waiting for the reconstruction of the structure.
If the positive news of listing/ecology is only rumors and has not yet landed, do not fully invest your position in advance; Follow the chart and risk control.
Off topic tips
The popularity of Memes such as XDOG can bring short-term capital flow, but correlation is not causal; Treat it as a rhythm accelerator, not a reason to enter.
You prefer a safer rhythm of "returning to the 20/25 daily line and then up", and this card has given wider stop losses and lower pending orders according to this idea. If the market does not retreat, execute the breakout backtesting method of Plan B, and do not get caught in the middle of chasing the rise and killing the fall.
Do I need to write the two sets of orders as OCO (take profit/stop loss) with specific price and quantity ratios? I can give you a list of orders directly.
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