It's always "up or down". You don't take a trade only if you can confirm the direction the market is heading- that is literally impossible, none of us can ever know for sure which direction the market is heading. You take a trade when you can identify a distinct setup with a clear entry and invalidation understanding that it is NOT the ONLY possibility or outcome, but that it is a favorable setup based on the risk/reward and probability of success. For example in this case- I don't know which of the two scenarios we will get, but I know that if I enter a long in the green zone with a SL below it the R/R and probability of success is favorable enough to make it worth an attempt- and that is all there is to it.(CrediBULL Crypto)