
看不懂的sol|Sep 24, 2025 08:31
How to truly make a comeback in the cryptocurrency/stock market?
Everyone is talking about investment turnaround, but most people's understanding of investment turnaround is always at the surface level - it's just about hitting the daily limit up, building a knockoff coin, making quick money, adding a few more digits to the account number, as if putting all these short-term profit labels together, and even completing the "investment turnaround".
The real investment turnaround is far from simple. Its core consists of three words: change position.
The so-called relocation refers to the transition from an investment ecosystem that was originally inefficient, high-risk, and relied on luck to a new state of high value, low volatility, and the ability to enjoy industry dividends.
The compound interest returns, high-quality assets, and risk resistance that you ultimately obtain are not groundless, but rather the inherent "benefits" of a new state.
In other words, selecting the right ecological niche is crucial for generating investment returns associated with it. It's not that you rely on luck to make money and establish a good ecological position, but that you anchor a high-value investment ecological position first, and sustained returns and asset appreciation will follow.
Many people are confused about why investing is difficult to make money, and the root cause lies in the "ecological niche" - the investment ecological niche you are currently in does not leave much long-term profit space for you.
This niche has its own rules and ceiling: for example, the short-term game ecology of chasing after the rise and killing the fall earns money from the opponent's market, but professional institutions and quantitative funds have already taken the advantage in the market. Ordinary investors have tried their best and cannot escape the rule limit of "one gain, two equalities, and seven losses"; For example, in an ecosystem that only focuses on a single asset, such as fully holding a certain stock/counterfeit coin, or being obsessed with niche wealth management, once the industry changes its face or the product explodes, the safety of the principal becomes a problem.
The first step in changing positions in investment is to recognize one's current "ecological niche".
For investors who only engage in short-term speculation, this niche belongs to a typical "zero sum game field". They make money by capturing short-term price differences, and the returns from a single operation may seem considerable, but they have to frequently monitor the market, bear extremely high trading costs, and face the risk of "making ten times is not enough to lose once".
More importantly, this ecological niche has almost no threshold, and anyone can buy and sell based on their "feelings". As a result, the market is filled with emotional trading, and short-term fluctuations are infinitely amplified. There are very few people who can make long-term stable profits.
The ceiling of this ecological niche has been determined by its attributes from the beginning. Working hard in this niche, the benefits you can get will never exceed the boundaries of "luck" and "market sentiment", and there is even a high probability that you will fall into a continuous loss cycle due to frequent operations and misjudgment.
The factors that determine the level of an investment ecosystem are industry trends and asset attributes. For ordinary investors, market rules do not change with personal will. As my old fans who are familiar with me know, when I used to work in the P2P industry, I also experienced the industry's explosive wave - countless investors entered with the expectation of "high returns", but in the end, they lost everything. However, this is not a problem that can be explained by "bad luck". It's not that P2P platforms often disguise themselves, but rather that the investment niche of "high interest deposit taking+unregulated" is already on a risk cliff. The outbreak of the crisis only exposes the fatal flaws of the niche in advance.
After recognizing the investment niche, what should be done is not to rely on the market to provide a bottom line - don't expect short-term policies to forcibly raise certain types of assets, don't expect "insider information" to bring you quick money, and don't expect the market to always follow your own judgment.
Professional investors who occupy high-value ecological niches are also following market rules in their layout, and your ecological niche will not increase its profit ceiling just because of "luck". What is truly useful is actively changing one's investment position: shifting one's "asset allocation" and entering an investment ecosystem with high inherent value, rather than waiting for the market to "give you opportunities".
This is the underlying logic of investment turnaround: investment turnaround flips the "ecological niche of assets", moving oneself from a low value, high-risk investment ecosystem to a high-value, high certainty ecosystem. This new niche can provide you with higher long-term returns, stronger risk resistance, and more asset choices. Once you anchor yourself, you will naturally receive industry dividends and compound returns that come with the niche.
On the other hand, if your investment logic has not changed, asset allocation has not been adjusted, and your ecological niche has not been optimized, but you suddenly make a lot of money through a single speculation, it is fundamentally not in line with investment laws. There won't be pies falling from the sky. The ecological niche is stuck there, and there is only so much long-term value that can be created. Short term luck gains will eventually return to the market due to the defects of the ecological niche.
At the beginning of investing, many people will dislike the "value investing faction". At that time, we were "opportunists" and had not experienced the polishing of market cycles. The only criteria for judging investment were "how fast it was rising" and "whether it could double in the short term".
In the eyes of many people, those investors who hold high-quality stocks for a long time are always labeled as "conservative" and "slow to earn", so we scoff at "long-term holding" and disdain "changing ecological positions" - in the eyes of some people, this is simply a foolish thing of "putting fast money but not making it, insisting on enduring time".
But if we look at it from the perspective of investment niche, in the story of "long-term compound interest", the character with the highest niche is actually the "long-term holder of high-quality assets". The question of whether high-quality assets rise slowly or not is a concern for short-term speculators; What should be more concerned in reality is what the ecosystem where high-quality assets are located can do - it can continuously create value as the industry grows, achieve compound interest through dividends and stock price increases, and withstand risks in market fluctuations.
You can understand high-quality assets as "core track leading stocks" and "high rated bonds" in reality, and the reason why you believe in "hitting the daily limit up in the short term", firmly believe that "overnight wealth is not a dream", and aspire to become a "speculator" is not because you really understand the market, but because you have not seen the risks of the short-term speculative ecological niche, mistaking luck for ability, and eager to get high returns by "taking a gamble".
So your investment goal has never been to "make quick money through speculation", but to stand on the track of high-quality assets by "changing the ecological niche" - getting rid of short-term games is a necessary path, anchoring long-term value is the outcome.
When we first start investing, we always struggle with whether holding for the long term will miss out on short-term opportunities; Only after experiencing market cycles do you understand that only by anchoring the high-value investment ecosystem first can you have the ability to grasp long-term returns. As for 'missing short-term opportunities', this regret has never been the key to investment, long-term profitability is the core. Just like those of us who have just started investing, we often have a bit of 'chasing after the rise' - in fact, what we are obsessed with is not the 'rise', but the pleasure of 'making money quickly', and we do not have the ability to control risks.
We envy others for hitting the daily limit up while being afraid of running out, but whether those stocks/currencies that hit the limit up in the short term can be held for the long term is not important at all, because we have long been overwhelmed by "short-term gains" in our hearts.
Just like the market has bias against "small businesses", when you do short-term trading, are you really "destined to be cut" as others say? Not necessarily. Prejudice is already prevalent, but only those who choose the right investment niche can break it and achieve profitability - the former is irrelevant, the latter is the key.
Why does it feel so good to invest and turn things around?
Because before turning around, you were in the low value investment ecosystem without high-quality assets to support you, without the ability to withstand risks, and even panicked when you saw market fluctuations. After turning over, your investment niche has changed, and you now have high-quality assets in your hands, even able to confidently layout during market adjustments. The feeling of "going from panic to calmness" after this ecological niche change is the greatest pleasure of "long-term compound interest".
We can't change the market, it has already divided various investment niches.
In the past, we complained about "difficult investment" and dissatisfaction with "always losing money", not because there were any major problems with the market rules, but because we ourselves were in a bad investment ecosystem.
When you stand in the high-value investment ecosystem, you will find that there are always people struggling in short-term games and paying for the wrong ecosystem.
It is not up to us to decide whether it is fair or not; What we can the final say is to try our best to choose a good investment niche for ourselves - if you don't understand, then make a fool to invest in btc, which is the most practical investment logic.
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