[Probability of Fed Rate Cut in October Reaches 91.9%] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 8.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 91.9%. Additionally, the probability of rates remaining unchanged in December is 1.5%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 74.4%.