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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|9月 25, 2025 16:52
You can't make this up: After months of anticipation of Fed rate cuts, Fannie Mae says mortgage rates will still be 5.9% at the end of NEXT year. That's just ~60 basis points below current levels. Why is this the case? Because inflation is rising, deficit spending is out of control, and the Fed can't control the long-term yields. Housing affordability is a crisis.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

10月 25, 15:44The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 98.3%.
10月 25, 11:03The Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision and Powell's press conference.
10月 25, 10:22The market has accumulated excessive leverage, and a liquidation storm may be approaching.
10月 25, 06:46CPI data is lower than expected, strengthening rate cut expectations
10月 24, 21:10Lower-than-expected CPI data sparks rate cut expectations
10月 24, 18:28Bitcoin Reversal Alert and Federal Reserve Rate Cut
10月 24, 15:23CPI is weakening, but inflation is rising
10月 24, 15:14The probability of the U.S. cutting interest rates three times in 2025 has reached a historic high.
10月 24, 14:27The probability of two more rate cuts in 2025 has surged to a record-breaking 85%.
10月 24, 13:45The liquidity of the coin is very low

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