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AiCoin
AiCoin|Sep 26, 2025 03:59
**[U.S. August Core PCE Annual Rate May Record 2.9%, Inflation Pressure Still Above Fed Target]** (Capital.com) Analyst Kyle Rodda expects the U.S. August Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index annual rate to reach 2.9%, indicating that inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The market is closely monitoring the specific performance of service and goods inflation, with service inflation still being the primary driver of price increases, while goods inflation may show signs of a rebound. Interest rate market data indicates a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in November and 75% in December. However, if the Core PCE annual rate exceeds 3%, it may heighten market doubts about the Fed's ability to cut rates.
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Timeline

Oct 25, 19:48Paul Volcker's views on monetary policy
Oct 25, 19:10The market is in a 'wait-and-see state'
Oct 25, 18:59The shining points that the United States still possesses
Oct 25, 18:46Inflation data is milder than expected
Oct 25, 17:06The Federal Reserve's bank reserves decreased by $59 billion.
Oct 25, 15:44The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 98.3%.
Oct 25, 15:08An excellent overview of the overall market condition
Oct 25, 13:40Bitcoin price soars
Oct 25, 11:03The Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision and Powell's press conference.
Oct 25, 06:46CPI data is lower than expected, strengthening rate cut expectations

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