Adam@Greeks.live
Adam@Greeks.live|Oct 08, 2025 15:19
daily @GreeksLive English Community Daily Brief ===== Publication Date: 2025-10-08 Overall Market Sentiment ===== The group shows a recent bearish sentiment, expecting a downward trend, with particular focus on ETH dropping to 4200-4300 and BTC testing 116-118k. However, there’s a clear divide between short-term bearish traders and long-term bullish holders, sparking debates around whether BTC’s reduced volatility and institutionalization signify maturity or weakness. Bitcoin Volatility Suppression and Structural Market Changes ===== • A widespread debate about BTC losing its unique upside volatility characteristics since the launch of IBIT options, with the asset now behaving more like traditional stocks—prices rising but volatility compressed. • Arguments suggest BTC’s annual compound growth rate since its 2021 peak is only 10%, and its year-to-date performance lags behind many traditional assets, including French and UK ETFs, marking the first time in history that holding BTC comes with significant opportunity costs. • Counterarguments emphasize extending the time horizon beyond short-term performance, comparing BTC’s programmed scarcity to gold’s decade-long consolidation at the $2,000 level (followed by its recent breakout), firmly believing that institutionalization won’t alter its long-term trajectory—driven by design and inevitable monetary printing—to surpass $1 million.
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