Don't package binary options as prediction markets. Polymarket's success lies in its ability to produce factual truths more effectively than traditional media, rooted in its American cultural genes and background—not in its market-making mechanism or oracle modules. The U.S. won't allow Chinese people to control prediction markets as a substitute for the fourth estate, and East Asia lacks the necessary environment for it. Many people don't know that Taiwan was the first jurisdiction to ban Polymarket.