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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Oct 14, 2025 19:06
The Bank of Japan’s balance sheet shrinkage is accelerating: Total assets on the BoJ balance sheet declined -148 billion in Q3 2025, to 4.62 trillion, the lowest since mid-2022. This marks the largest quarterly decline since Quantitative Tightening (QT) began in 2024. Since the March 2024 peak, assets have fallen -407 billion, or -8.1%. To put this into perspective, the BoJ's total assets to GDP ratio still stands above 110%. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan announced in late September that it would start gradually selling its ETF and REIT holdings at a pace of 4.2 billion per year. Japan's era of ultra-loose monetary policy is over.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Nov 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
Nov 13, 11:30The end of the government shutdown changed the rules of the game.
Nov 12, 14:52The Supreme Court ruling may affect the movement of the US dollar.
Nov 12, 10:00Bitcoin flows out massively from Binance
Nov 10, 19:01Market sentiment recovers after the shutdown ends, U.S. stocks rise.
Nov 10, 12:51The Federal Reserve ends tightening, signaling the start of a liquidity injection cycle.
Nov 10, 01:26Arthur Hayes calls for BTC and ZEC, positive news
Nov 10, 00:22The probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending has surged to 66%.
Nov 09, 13:08Bitcoin surged over 300% after the government shutdown.
Nov 09, 03:38ICP's wave of market activity has ended, and the main players have exited.

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