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煌道 | 交易之道
煌道 | 交易之道|Oct 15, 2025 01:51
10.15 Opportunities Brewing in Despair 1. This massive liquidation has had an unprecedented impact on market confidence. From contract positions/funding rates/greed and fear index, and Twitter discussions, a lot of people believe the bull market is over and have completely exited their positions. 2. Opportunities always arise from despair. The massive liquidation has led to sufficient turnover, coupled with the upcoming rate cuts + end of QT + mainstream altcoin ETFs. I don’t think the bull market is over and am very optimistic about the Q4 market. Bullish on ETH, SOL.
+5
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Timeline

Nov 14, 00:22The government ends the shutdown, markets broadly decline.
Nov 13, 21:01Bitcoin and big tech stocks bloodbath
Nov 13, 19:49Market sentiment is poor, and liquidity recovery will take time.
Nov 13, 19:11The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has fallen below 50%.
Nov 13, 16:49CME and Kalshi lower the probability of a rate cut in December
Nov 13, 16:40The market is divided on the Federal Reserve's next move.
Nov 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
Nov 13, 15:02U.S. stocks opened lower as investors focus on Federal Reserve policy.
Nov 13, 03:43The Federal Reserve dampens the market, the easy mode for U.S. stocks is over.
Nov 13, 03:14The U.S. government ends its shutdown, increasing uncertainty in the release of economic data.

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