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煌道 | 交易之道
煌道 | 交易之道|10月 15, 2025 01:51
10.15 Opportunities Brewing in Despair 1. This massive liquidation has had an unprecedented impact on market confidence. From contract positions/funding rates/greed and fear index, and Twitter discussions, a lot of people believe the bull market is over and have completely exited their positions. 2. Opportunities always arise from despair. The massive liquidation has led to sufficient turnover, coupled with the upcoming rate cuts + end of QT + mainstream altcoin ETFs. I don’t think the bull market is over and am very optimistic about the Q4 market. Bullish on ETH, SOL.
+4
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Timeline

11月 13, 19:49Market sentiment is poor, and liquidity recovery will take time.
11月 13, 16:49CME and Kalshi lower the probability of a rate cut in December
11月 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
11月 13, 03:14The U.S. government ends its shutdown, increasing uncertainty in the release of economic data.
11月 12, 15:57Is the market overly confident about a rate cut in December?
11月 12, 15:02Wintermute sells off assets, 40% of holdings liquidated
11月 12, 07:23Non-farm payroll and CPI data will be exciting
11月 11, 22:08The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 67.6%.
11月 10, 16:12Whale Bitcoin sell-off remains stable
11月 10, 13:51The pound may continue to weaken against the euro until next year.

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